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Logarithmic Martingale

Logarithmic Martingale

Martingale

The gentlest size increase.

At a glance

Engine value
marti_grid_logarithmic
Size at level i
size(i) = base · (1 + ln(i+1))
Family
Martingale — Size grows deeper into — faster recovery, more capital.
Risk band
Low risk
Capital profile
≈ linear·log — total ≈ base × n(1 + ln n).
Best for
Capital-sensitive averaging; wide grids with many levels.
Orders per level
One entry order and one take-profit per level.
Ladder cost @ 10 levels
27.5× base lot
Versus a flat ladder
2.75× the capital
Deepest rung
3.40× base (2.01× the first rung)
Entry orders resting
10 at 10 levels
Break-even bounce
4.41% from the deepest fill (flat ladder: 5.00%)

What this curve is for

The gentlest growth in the . Size rises with the logarithm of depth, so even a very deep ladder ends up only a few times the base lot at its deepest rung. Choose it when you want - economics with a marginal, measurable averaging edge.

How the sizing rule works

Size at level i is 1 + ln(i + 1). The increase between consecutive levels shrinks continuously, and at twenty levels the deepest rung is only around four times base.

LevelPer-order sizeOrdersLevel totalCumulativeEntry priceTake-profit
L11.69×11.69×1.69×99.0099.99
L22.10×12.10×3.79×98.0098.98
L32.39×12.39×6.18×97.0097.97
L42.61×12.61×8.79×96.0096.96
L52.79×12.79×11.6×95.0095.95
L62.95×12.95×14.5×94.0094.94
L73.08×13.08×17.6×93.0093.93
L83.20×13.20×20.8×92.0092.92
L93.30×13.30×24.1×91.0091.91
L103.40×13.40×27.5×90.0090.90
Reference configuration: 10 levels, 1% apart, 1% target, base price 100, long. Sizes are in base-lot units.

The ladder, as the engine builds it

Below is the 's own ladder and the trading terminal's chart engine, both driven by buildLadderPlan for this . Change the level count, spread or target and the rung prices, sizes, and chart lines recompute exactly as they would in the .

base lot 100 USDT · long · no stop

Ladder shape — Logarithmic Martingale

LONG · base 100.00 (illustrative) · 10 levels stepping down · 1% apart

Base positionEntry rung (buy)Init target
Opening position & init targets200 USDT
T2
target 2 sell @ 102.00
+2 USDT
T1
target 1 sell @ 101.00
+1 USDT
L0
Market buy · 2 lots @ 100.00
200 USDT

Targets are stacked above the opening buy because a long grid exits higher than it enters.

Entry ladder

Limit buys below the base · L1 nearest, L10 deepest · every amount in USDT

Entry ladder: one row per rung, showing entry and exit price, size, order count, notional, margin, running capital and profit at exit.
LevelSize curveEntry buyUSDTExit sellUSDTFrom base%Sizebase lotsOrdersNotionalUSDTMarginUSDTCum. capitalUSDTProfit at exitUSDT
L150%99.0099.991.00%1.69×11691693691.69
L262%98.0098.982.00%2.10×12102105792.1
L370%97.0097.973.00%2.39×12392398182.39
L477%96.0096.964.00%2.61×12612611,0792.61
L582%95.0095.955.00%2.79×12792791,3582.79
L687%94.0094.946.00%2.95×12952951,6532.95
L791%93.0093.937.00%3.08×13083081,9603.08
L894%92.0092.928.00%3.20×13203202,2803.2
L997%91.0091.919.00%3.30×13303302,6103.3
L10100%90.0090.9010.00%3.40×13403402,9503.4
Levels 1–10 of 10
1 / 1
Ladder cost 27.5×Capital 2,950 USDTAvg entry 94.37Cycle profit 30.5
Loading the chart engine…

What depth costs

Barely above linear. Capital planning can be done as though the ladder were flat with a modest , which is what makes very deep configurations practical.

LevelsLadder costDeepest rungEntry ordersCost vs 5 levelsCoverage
5 levels11.6×2.79×51.00×5%
10 levels27.5×3.40×102.38×10%
20 levels65.4×4.04×205.65×20%
40 levels154×4.71×4013.3×40%
Ladder cost is Σ of every rung in base-lot units, excluding the opening L0 batch. At a grid size of 100 USDT, the 10-level ladder commits 2,750 USDT of notional at 1× leverage.

Read the cost vs 5 levels column as the escalation test. A flat ladder doubles when the depth doubles; anything materially above that is a whose coverage has to be bought rather than simply configured.

Capital budgetLevels affordableAdverse move covered
10× base4 levels4.0%
25× base9 levels9.0%
50× base16 levels16.0%
100× base28 levels28.0%
250× base59 levels59.0%
How far price can move against the grid before it runs out of rungs, per capital budget, at 1% spacing. This is the question a funding decision actually turns on.

Averaging and recovery

With every rung , the volume-weighted average entry is 93.97 against a base of 100 and a deepest rung of 90.00 — so the average sits 60% of the way down the covered range. Getting back to flat from the bottom therefore needs a 4.41% , against 5.00% for a flat ladder of the same depth — 0.59% less work.

ExcursionLevels filledDeployedAverage entryMarkUnrealisedBounce to flat
Shallow dipL1–L36.18×97.8997.00-0.06×0.92%
Half the ladder fillsL1–L511.6×96.7795.00-0.21×1.86%
Full ladderL1–L1027.5×93.9790.00-1.14×4.41%
Reference configuration: 10 levels, 1% apart, 1% target, base price 100, long. Sizes are in base-lot units. Deterministic arithmetic, not a simulation: no assumption is made about how price reached each depth.

The gentlest growth available. Size barely rises even on very deep ladders, so it behaves almost like while still averaging down slightly faster.

Where the exposure sits

Held by the shallowest quarter
22.5% of total size
Held by the deepest quarter
36.0% of total size
Unrealised loss at full fill
1.14× base (4.1% of deployed capital)
Profit if every rung books its target
0.28× base
One shallow cycle, against reserved capital
6.2 bps

The last row is the metric that separates modes. Profit for a full cycle is the target of deployed capital in every , so it cannot discriminate. What differs is how much capital has to sit reserved to earn one shallow cycle: this mode 27.5× base to collect 6.2 bps of it when the first rung completes.

Which market pays this curve

Wide grids on instruments with but slow adverse moves. The is built for depth, not for response.

Adds only a amount with depth, so size barely grows even on deep ladders. Nearly as safe as but still averages down a faster. Floored at 1 lot.

The shape of the risk

Effectively the - risk profile. The hazard is expectation: the label says martingale, the behaviour says flat.

Run it over real history

This is the product's grid backtester, not a summary of one. It fetches public candles for the you pick, rebuilds the ladder on the first candle of the , then applies the engine's own fill, take-profit, and stop-loss rules bar by bar. The caveat block inside the is part of the output — read it before trusting a number.

Instrument

BTCUSD

delta-india

Logarithmic Martingale · 10 levels @ 1% · target 1% · 100 USDT / level · 1× · long · no stop

What this does not model

  • Exact intrabar ticks. Bullish/doji candles use open → low → high → close; bearish candles use open → high → low → close. Finer timeframes reduce sensitivity to this deterministic assumption.
  • Queue position. Limit orders are assumed filled when touched, which flatters a maker grid in fast markets.
  • Margin rejection and liquidation. Deep rungs fill here even if the account could not fund them — check the capital requirement.
  • Slippage and funding. Only the fee you set above is charged; funding, borrow and slippage are absent.

Run the ladder over real history

The grid is rebuilt anchored on the first candle of the window, then the engine's own fill, exit, refill and stop-loss rules are applied bar by bar. You get the real fill sequence for this configuration on this instrument.

Measured against other modes

First the arithmetic, then the market. The below is computed from the size curves alone; the underneath replays every one of those ladders over the same real candle , with grid_mode as the only variable.

ModeLadder costDeepest rungBreak-even bounceEntry ordersShallow cycle
Logarithmic Martingale (this mode)27.5×3.40×4.41%106.2 bps
Fixed10.0×1.00×5.00%1010.0 bps
Capped Linear40.0×5.00×4.03%102.5 bps
Linear Martingale55.0×10.0×2.38%551.8 bps
Exponential Martingale2046×1024×1.10%100.1 bps
Reference configuration: 10 levels, 1% apart, 1% target, base price 100, long. Sizes are in base-lot units. Peers are chosen from this mode's own direction plus the flat baseline, so the comparison is meaningful rather than decorative.

Nothing is precomputed here. Press run and the backtester fetches one candle window and replays 5 ladders across it — identical settings, identical bars, grid_mode as the only difference.

When to use it

  • Wide grids with many levels.
  • Capital-sensitive averaging where predictability outranks recovery.
  • You want - planning with a structural edge.

When to avoid it

  • You expect the size growth to matter — at level 20 the deepest rung is only about 4× base.
  • You need to recover a deep on a schedule.

Tuning

  • Treat depth as the dial. This exists to make depth affordable.
  • If the measured averaging benefit over is inside the noise, use fixed and keep the simpler mental model.

Running it in production

  • Watch how quickly executed size hits the one-lot — beyond that extra levels add coverage but almost no averaging.
  • Track realised cycles per day. Decay curves earn from frequency, so a falling cycle count is the signal that the market has left the .
  • Check the gap between average entry and . Decay curves keep it wide by design, so recovery expectations must be set from it, not from hope.

How it fails

  1. 1
    Expectation mismatch
    Chosen as a martingale, behaves as . Verify against a fixed run before assuming any recovery advantage.
  2. 2
    Coverage exhaustion
    As with every flat-ish , the real risk is the covered range ending before the move does.

Claims worth correcting

“ growth is still growth, so recovery improves meaningfully.”

The improvement is real but enough that it rarely changes an operational . it, do not assume it.

Interaction with the rest of the configuration

  • Spread sets how fast the ladder consumes depth. Widening it buys coverage for the same level count at the cost of fewer .
  • Target sets what each cycle books. Below -trip fees plus slippage, a grid is a fee generator regardless of the .
  • The is the only bound on the tail. Without it, the 's worst case is whatever the market does, not what you planned.

Questions this mode raises

  1. 1
    Why choose this over square-root?
    When depth is very and even square-root growth is more than you want to fund. Below about twenty levels, square-root is usually the better trade.

Where these numbers come from

  • Sizes and capital: levelMultiplier / gridModeCurve in lib/grid/gridModes.ts, from grid_modes.hpp and the Python engine's lot calculator.
  • Rung and exit prices, , init targets and the stop line: buildLadderPlan — the same builder the and use.
  • Backtest , cycles and P&L: runBacktest / runBacktestSweep over public broker candles, applying the engine's fill, exit, and stop rules.
  • Price charts: the trading terminal's chart engine, with the ladder drawn through its own price-line API.
!
Caution:A backtest is evidence about one , not a . Fees are charged at the rate you set; slippage, funding, , margin rejection and are not modelled. For a growth especially, a profitable window mostly tells you the window did not contain the trend that would have tested it.

Related

  • 1.Grid Modes — Overview — The full taxonomy and how to choose
  • 2.Martingale family — What every curve in this family has in common
  • 3.Capital Allocation — Sizing an account to a Logarithmic Martingale ladder
  • 4.Stop Loss — Bounding this curve's tail
  • 5.Reading the Ladder Plan — Verifying the curve before deploying
  • 6.Grid Structure — Levels, init batch and base size

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